How Discoveries work
Nomos looks for patterns across everything you log: habits, symptoms, ratings and timing. When a pattern is strong enough that it's unlikely to be chance, it appears as a card in Insights → Discoveries. All the analysis runs on your phone. Your data is never uploaded.
Jump to section…
- How Discoveries finds patterns
- Reading a Discovery card
- Time-lagged trigger
- High-confidence driver
- Exploratory trigger
- Routine stack
- Symptom co-occurrence
- Mediated confounder
- Target goal & rating drivers
- Timing patterns
- N-of-1 personal trials
- What trial results mean
- Tips for better discoveries
- Where analysis happens
- FAQ
How Discoveries finds patterns
- When it runs: automatically about every 12 hours in the background, and right away when you tap Scan now on the Discoveries tab.
- What it compares: days. For each pair of trackers, Nomos counts the days you logged both, only one, or neither. It then checks whether one makes the other more likely than usual. That ratio is the lift.
- Same day vs. the next day: it checks two timings. Do X and Y tend to happen on the same day? Does X on one day predict Y the next day? A next-day pattern is a stronger hint about cause, because X came first.
- Guarding against chance: with many trackers there are many possible pairs, and some will line up by luck. Nomos corrects for this (Benjamini–Hochberg false discovery rate, cut-off 15%), so a card needs real evidence, not just one striking coincidence.
- Quiet stretches are skipped: if nothing at all was logged for more than 7 days in a row, those days are left out so a holiday doesn't distort the result. Ordinary 1–3 day gaps still count.
- Minimum data: comparisons between trackers need at least 12 tracked days. A same-day pattern needs the two to coincide on at least 4 days. A next-day pattern needs at least 3 occurrences.
- "Symptom" trackers: Nomos treats a tracker as a symptom or outcome if its name contains one of these words (whole words, plurals and simple endings like "Headaches" or "Stressed" count): headache, migraine, fatigue, insomnia, pain, reflux, stress, anxiety, cramps, soreness, hangover, nausea, rash, bloating, tired, cold, flu, symptom, flare. "Painting" or "Fluids" don't count. Mood ratings are not treated as symptoms. A symptom is never shown as the cause of a habit.
- Hidden and archived trackers: left out of Discoveries entirely, including from the baseline. Hiding a tracker removes its cards on the next scan.
- Dismissed cards stay dismissed: cards you dismiss with ✕ stay dismissed after future scans. Cards that stop meeting the statistical thresholds disappear on their own.
Reading a Discovery card
Each card in your Discoveries feed is constructed with eight key elements:
- A badge: the card type showing the statistical relationship (detailed below).
- A title: A ➔ B indicates a directional trigger, while A + B represents things that co-occur together.
- A plain sentence: clear explanation summarizing the finding with key numbers.
- Outcome probability comparison: how often B happened with A versus without A. For example, "With Coffee 62% · Without Coffee 31%" means B showed up on twice as many days.
- Lift: how much more likely B is with A, as a percentage. +100% means twice as likely.
- Odds ratio: on applicable cards, another way to express relationship strength (1.0× means no relationship).
- "Test as N-of-1 trial" button: available wherever a 2-tracker directional trial makes sense.
- ✕ button: to dismiss cards you do not wish to track further.
At the top of the feed, you can filter by All Discoveries, Target Goals, or by individual tracker chips.
Coffee ➔ Reflux
Reflux is twice as likely on days after drinking coffee.
Card types
⏳ Time-lagged triggerTime-lagged trigger
X on one day is followed by Y the next day more often than usual. The next-day timing makes this the most useful kind of pattern to test, because X strictly precedes Y in time.
Next step: tap Test as N-of-1 trial to verify the relationship with a controlled elimination trial.
High-confidence driverHigh-confidence driver
The same as a time-lagged trigger, but backed by stronger evidence: at least 15 days of data and a very low chance of coincidence (p ≤ 0.02). Inside a single tracker, it indicates that one recorded attribute strongly predicts a symptom-type attribute.
🔍 Exploratory triggerExploratory trigger / exploratory pattern
On days with X, a symptom-type tracker Y shows up more often, but on the same day, so the chronological order isn't known. The card explicitly indicates whether the sample size is small (under 30 days) or that this is "correlation only, not proof of cause".
Next step: treat it as a lead and test it with a personal trial. Be mindful of logging habits: if you only log Y on days you also log X, the pattern can look huge without reflecting real causality.
🔗 Routine stackRoutine stack / habit bundle
Two habits you tend to do together on the same day, such as "Creatine + Body training". This describes your personal routine structure; it does not claim that one habit causes the other, so there is no trial button. Inside one tracker, a habit bundle means you usually record two specific attributes together.
⚡ Symptom co-occurrenceSymptom co-occurrence
Two symptom-type trackers tend to appear on the same days, for example "Headache + Nausea". This is useful observational data to discuss with your healthcare clinician. Nomos does not assume a causal direction, so no personal trial is offered.
⚠️ Mediated confounderMediated confounder
A pattern between X and Y that disappears once Nomos accounts for a lifestyle anchor: a tracker whose name contains the word sleep, rest, alcohol or stress (for example "Sleep", "Sleep & Rest", "Stress level"; "Interest" doesn't count).
Nomos shows this as a warning and offers no trial, because the underlying lifestyle anchor is the more meaningful factor to investigate.
Target goal driverTarget goal driver · Major driver · Rating impact
These cards analyze attributes inside an individual tracker:
- Target goal driver: an attribute that makes your tracker's target (the attribute marked "Treat as a target goal") significantly more likely, shown with lift and odds ratio.
- Major driver / Rating impact: a yes/no attribute that shifts a 1–5 rating, such as mood or sleep quality. Major driver means the average rating moves by 1.0 point or more; rating impact indicates a smaller but statistically reliable shift (at least 0.4 points). Nomos validates this using Student's t-test (p ≤ 0.08, plus the Benjamini–Hochberg false discovery correction).
Because these compare attributes within a single tracker (while personal trials require two distinct trackers), these cards do not include a trial button.
Timing patternsTiming patterns: peak habit · weekend surge · weekday routine
Timing patterns describe when you log an activity, rather than what it correlates with. A tracker requires at least 8 logged events to evaluate timing:
- Peak habit: a weekday and time window where logs cluster (e.g. "3.1× higher on Sundays 20:00–23:00"). It requires at least 3 occurrences in that window and at least 15% of all logs. Night hours only qualify if you genuinely log during the night.
- Weekend surge / weekday routine: logged at least 1.7× more per day on weekends than weekdays (or vice versa), evaluated against the actual weekend and weekday counts in your personal history.
N-of-1 personal trials
A personal trial (an "N-of-1" scientific study: one person, you) tests whether a suspected trigger genuinely influences an outcome for you.
How to start: on a Discovery card that links two trackers, tap Test as N-of-1 trial. The button appears on time-lagged, high-confidence, and exploratory cards. It is not shown on routine stacks, symptom co-occurrences, mediated confounders, or attribute-level drivers.
How it runs:
- Phase 1, Elimination (7 days): avoid the trigger completely and continue logging the outcome. This establishes your clean baseline rate.
- Phase 2, Reintroduction (7 days): resume the trigger and continue logging. Does the outcome increase or return?
The trial card displays "Day N of …", the number of events recorded in each phase, and days tracked. You can tap Advance to Phase 2 early if needed: the transition date adjusts to that moment and Phase 2 will still run for a full 7 days. When complete, tap Finalize trial verdict. You may cancel an active trial at any time.
What makes a result fair: both phases share identical duration; logs from before you started the trial are excluded; outcome rates are computed per day and displayed normalized per week.
What trial results mean
During a trial, Nomos tracks your progress, and once finalized, evaluates event rates across both phases to determine your verdict:
| Result | When it appears | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| Causal link supported (strong signal) | The outcome happened clearly more often during Reintroduction: at least 1.8× the Elimination rate, and at least 3 events in Phase 2. | Strong evidence for you. Consider avoiding the trigger; repeat the trial later to confirm. |
| Spurious correlation disproven | The rates in the two phases were nearly the same (within 15%), with at least 2 events in each phase. | The original pattern was probably coincidence. |
| Outcome decreased during reintroduction | The outcome went down when you resumed the trigger. | This can't confirm or rule out a cause. Check sleep and stress, or run a longer trial. |
| No outcome events | The outcome never happened in either phase. | The trigger probably wasn't the main driver in this period. |
| Mixed results | Anything in between the thresholds above. | Run a longer trial or check for confounders. |
| Still in progress | Phase 2 isn't finished yet. | Keep logging. |
The wording is deliberate: a personal trial provides supporting evidence, not clinical proof.
Tips for better discoveries
- Log consistently for at least 2–3 weeks: Discoveries require a minimum of 12 tracked days before running comparisons.
- Log symptoms when they happen and when they don't: Statistical patterns rely on contrast between active and inactive days.
- Name symptom trackers clearly: Use descriptive names (such as "Headache", not "H") so the engine can identify symptoms and avoid showing them as causes.
- Track baseline lifestyle anchors: Add a Sleep, Alcohol, or Stress tracker; Nomos uses these to catch and warn about mediated confounders.
- Mark target goals: Set key attributes as "Treat as a target goal" to unlock Target Goal Driver insights.
- Use Hide from Insights: If a tracker only introduces noise, hide it from Insights to remove it from discovery baselines.
Where the analysis happens
Every calculation—including statistical scans, Benjamini–Hochberg corrections, N-of-1 trials, and verdicts—runs entirely on your phone. Nomos requires no user account, connects to no cloud servers, includes zero analytics SDKs, and declares no network permissions in its Android manifest. Your personal data cannot leave your device.
Opening this online help page is an ordinary web browser visit that transmits none of your local logs or app state.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why don't I see any discoveries yet?
Why did a card disappear?
The lift looks huge (e.g. +3000%). Is that real?
Can I trust a "small sample" card?
Why is there no trial button on this card?
Is this medical advice?
Medical Disclaimer: Nomos is a self-tracking tool, not a medical device. Discoveries are patterns in your own logs, not medical advice.